GOLD & Silver 30th July 2011 Weekly Report

Whilst Gold remains above the July highs, in theory, it should continue to push upwards and follow the weekly high cycles over the next 2-weeks and complete the move into 1677 by the first week of August...

Previous Weekly report

Gold Primary and Weekly cycles

Gold continues to move upwards with the expectation that it will move towards the August highs @ $1658...

and if they don't do anything over the weekend to rectify the debt ceiling issue, price of Gold could hit the 2011 target early next week $1679

Note:- if something happens and they raise the debt ceiling, along with the Friday high pattern, then next week will start with a 2-day reversal down towards the Weekly level $1594

and could reach the August 50% level by Friday...

If it does move down into the August 50% level @ $1574 by next Friday, then that level will be used as a trend guide of another attack towards the 2011 target (following Week)

Silver trading above the July 50% level, and in theory it should continue to follow next week's cycle highs...

 and then another 5-days upwards at the start of August... (Previous Weekly report)

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

Silver not as robust as gold, as the 2011 highs @ 40.81 continues to resist the trend from rising..

The short-term support level on Silver is next week's 50% level $ 38.96, and whilst it's above that level, the trend bias remains up.

However, if below, then the trend will revisit the 3rd quarterly 50% level @ $36.80 

GOLD & Silver Report 23rd July 2011

Gold Primary and Weekly cycles

GOLD continues to trade above the July highs @ 1576,

with an overall target of $1677 for 2011

Whilst Gold remains above the July highs in theory it should continue to push upwards and follow the weekly high cycles over the next 2-weeks and complete the move into 1677 by the first week of August.

The only concern is if the next 5-days continues to consolidate in a sideways pattern..

if that happens then the first week of August could move back down towards the August 50%

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles.

Silver trading above the July 50% level, and in theory it should continue to follow next week's cycle highs...

and then another 5-days upwards at the start of August, with an overall target of $49.43 during this Quarter

Weekly level @ $39.00 (short term support)

Quarterly 50% level @ $36.79 (SUPPORT)

GOLD & SILVER Report 16th July 2011

GOLD Primary and Weekly cycles

Gold has reached its 3rd Quarterly highs @ $1594, with an overall target in 2011 @ $1677+
There is a breakout of the Weekly highs @ $1568, that should push up towards next week's highs...

If that happens I would look for the Price to slip back towards $ 1568 to $1552

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

Silver should continue up towards next week's highs :- 40.35 to 40.81.

And Even though Silver could follow the same pattern as Gold and continue towards the 3rd Quarterly highs @ $48+

there is also the possibility that price revisits the Weekly level  @ $37.34 next week

The Quarterly 50% level @ $36.75 is your trailing support price for the rest of this Quarter.

GOLD & SILVER Report 9th July 2011

Friday's price action has the hallmarks of getting buyers excited on the metal once again if it begins trading above the July 50% level & $1502.90... that could see the trend make its way back towards the recent highs once again.

Previous Weekly report

Gold Primary and Weekly cycles

As noted in last week's report, the price action around the BUY set-up had to validated by price trading above the July 50% level and Weekly level $1502.

once that happened, the trend bias was to move back towards the highs.

Next Week:-

Short-term trend guide is based on the Weekly level @ $1540, which could see the trend follow the weekly highs towards next week's highs.

otherwise the Weekly 50% level is the trailing support level @ $1516

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

Keep an eye for a possible up move, if Silver tests next week's lows @ $32.96 and buyers appear...if it breaks the 5-day highs/ Weekly 50% level, the price of silver could quickly move back towards $37-$39.....

Previous Weekly report

Silver didn't move down into the BUY set-up, but it did break out of the 5-day highs and Weekly 50% level.

The trend has continued back towards the Quarterly 50% level @ $36.80.

The Quarterly 50% level level along with the Weekly level $36.24 will determine whether Silver continues to move up towards $39+

If not Silver, can move back down towards $33.00 later in month.

GOLD & SILVER Report 2nd July 2011

GOLD Primary and Weekly cycles

GOLD has continued with its downward reversal pattern at the start of the 3rd quarter, and looks to be moving down into the 3-Quarter support levels.

Those support levels are an ideal level to get back into the trend for all those that are still bullish on the metal.

Don't hold longs below $1446

However, what happens if those support levels aren't reached...

Friday's price action has the hallmarks of getting buyers excited on the metal once again if it begins trading above the July 50% level & $1502.90... that could see the trend make its way back towards the recent highs once again.

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

 Silver has started the 3rd Quarter below the 50% level, which can often lead to more downward pressure, and see price move down into the July lows @ $30.17

Over the past 3-weeks the price of silver has followed the Weekly range, making lower lows, and that may continue into next week's lows

Note:- keep an eye for a possible up move, if Silver tests next week's lows @ $32.96 and buyers appear.


if it breaks the 5-day highs/ Weekly 50% level, the price of silver could quickly move back towards $37-$39.....

And if it begins to trade and consolidate above the Quarterly 50% level once again, the upward trend will likely resume.

GOLD & SILVER Report 25th June 2011

If the US Dollar is going to rise upwards next week.... traders need to be aware that if GOLD is trading below Weekly 50% level there may be downward pressure on the price of GOLD once again.

Previous Weekly report

GOLD Primary and Weekly cycles

USD dollar rose and Gold dropped, moving below the Weekly 50% level resulting in the trend moving lower and breaking a number of support levels.

There are 2 important patterns that can play out next week....

#1)Follows the Weekly range towards next week's lows, but then price remains in a tight 5-day range, whilst remaining below the breakout levels @ 1514.

#2) continues to move down towards the Support levels, as shown in the Primary chart in the 3rd Quarter.

In conclusion:- my view is that GOLD is moving down towards the 3rd Quarterly support levels, and those levels will define whether the trend will continue higher during 2011.

Quarterly support is the most robust zone for trends to begin from, and also the most logical level for the next leg of the Primary cycle, if you believe Gold will continue to rise in 2011.

However, keep in mind the failure of those support levels, but i'll come back to that at a later date.

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles


As noted over the past number of week's, Silver is more likely to remain in a tight sideways pattern until the start of the 3rd Quarter.

As we can see, Silver may remain within the Weekly ranges over the next 5-days, until the start of July..

or price could continue down into the June lows @ 31.30

However, we can also see that the trend is likely begin the 3rd Quarter below the support level, and if that's the case, there is the possibility that Silver could drop in the 2nd half of 2011.

And if it does, then the downside target is $24.93

If it gets down that LOW, then BUY silver.

In the mean time, the trend remains sideways, and it will be interesting to see how the next 5-days plays out, and where price is in relation to the 3rd Quarterly support level.

GOLD & SILVER Report 18th June 2011

If the USD begins to reverse down then GOLD should find support at it's Weekly 50% level @ 1523 and push upwards, as part of a move towards higher highs in June/July

If the USD continues to rise up for the next 3-days, then we could get Commodities drifting sideways into July

Previous Weekly report

GOLD Primary and Weekly cycles.

GOLD remains above the Yearly highs, with a possible continuation of the trend upwards into July, within an overall target of $1679.

"if we follow text book patterns, then the Weekly highs are seen as resistance in the USD

And if the trend is going to continue higher, then we look for a minor reversal pattern downward starting Thursday , and for another leg upwards next week, as described in the book"

(Forex Report 15th June)

The USD moved upwards during the first 3-days, hit the Weekly highs, and then reversed down on Thursday & Friday

Those highs in the USD aligned with GOLD finding support above its Weekly 50% level on Thursday, and then moving up towards higher highs on Friday.

Therefore, if the USD is going to rise upwards next week (from Tuesday).... traders need to be aware that if GOLD is trading below Weekly 50% level there may be downward pressure on the price of GOLD once again.

The critical support levels remain the Trailing Weekly lows. (Green @ $1512)


Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

Silver remains supported above it's Primary highs, but with the USD moving upwards, silver looks to be moving into a sideways pattern for the rest of the month.

As mentioned over the past number of weeks....

the critical level in the trend will be defined by the 3rd Quarterly 50% level starting in July (Yellow)....

that is either going to send the price of silver towards new highs in the 3rd quarter....

or the trend reversing down towards

GOLD & SILVER Report 11th June 2011

"Be aware that the trend may revisit the June 50% level on any short-term weakness.

That would be based on the US dollar moving into a short-term counter-trend move upwards later next week ..."

Previous Weekly report

GOLD Primary and Weekly cycles

The USD has risen late this week, putting pressure on Commodities to fall later in the week.

The level the USD has risen on Friday is at point that it can reverse down from next week, and resume its downward spiral, as part of the next stage of a 'dollar collapse'

If the USD begins to reverse down then GOLD should find support at it's Weekly 50% level @ 1523 and push upwards, as part of a move towards higher highs in June/July

If the USD continues to rise up for the next 3-days, then we could get Commodities drifting sideways into July, whilst GOLD slipping down towards the June 50% level and Weekly lows @ $1506


Silver and Weekly cycles

As noted in last week's report, Silver and Gold cycles are different, but if the USD drops Silver will rise, with a support level @ $35.26 coming into play.

If USD continues to rise....

Then silver will continue it sideways pattern into the start of the 3rd quarter...when the upward trend becomes less reliable if it begins trading below the 3rd Quarter 50% level.

GOLD & SILVER Report 4th June 2011

Is Gold going to trend towards $1679 over the next 4 weeks, as the USD dollar collapses??

Because I'm a betting man I think it will.

If it is, then the most robust pattern would be to see the Weekly highs push the price of GOLD down into the June 50% level, which can provide the next set-up for the trend to continue higher from Wednesday onwards

Previous Weekly report

GOLD Primary and Weekly cycles

The USD dollar has been under pressure over the past 5-days, whilst GOLD continues to move upwards.

If the trend continues higher, then price can remain within an orderly pattern, and follow the Weekly highs, and then continue towards $1579 thereafter.

Last week saw selling pressure after the Weekly highs were reached, but the the trend didn't move down into the June 50% level, therefore be aware that the trend may revisit the June 50% level on any short-term weakness.

That would be based on the US dollar moving into a short-term counter-trend move upwards later next week

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

I would have expected more strength last week, but the cycles are completely different when we compare Silver to GOLD.

GOLD is above the monthly 50% level, whilst Silver remains below.

Therefore, to validate a continuation upwards into the 3rd Quarter, price needs to be trading above the June 50% level @ $40.03

Otherwise traders need to be aware, that if the next few weeks move into a sideways pattern and then closes below the 3rd Quarter 50% level (higher step formation Yellow)....

Silver could come under selling pressure and revisit the Yearly 50% level.

In the mean time, the Primary cycles remain bullish...

but the short & intermediate cycles remain bearish to sideways.

GOLD & SILVER Report 28th may 2011

Gold Primary and Weekly cycles

Is Gold going to trend towards $1679 over the next 4 weeks, as the USD dollar collapses??

Because I'm a betting man I think it will.

If it is, then the most robust pattern would be to see the Weekly highs push the price of GOLD down into the June 50% level, which can provide the next set-up for the trend to continue higher from Wednesday onwards

Note:- first target is $1679, but likely to extend towards the 3rd Quarter highs in July.

The UP Trend remains stable unless is breaks the Weekly lows in the 3rd month of the current Quarter

Silver Primary and Weekly cycles

Primary cycle suggests the trend will continue towards the 3rd Quarter highs in July.

That will be validated by a breakout of the Weekly highs and also above the June 50% level

In the short-term, if it's below $38.00 we could see Silver come down into the Weekly 50% level.

upward trend remains stable unless it breaks the Weekly lows